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Big Day at the Fed: Fed Debate Turns to Pace of Cuts Amid Heavy Trump Pressure (Bloomberg)
The Federal Reserve is poised to resume cutting interest rates for the first time in nine months as it grapples with a slowing labor market, stubborn inflation, and an unprecedented push by President Donald Trump for lower borrowing costs. The decision is due at 2 PM ET.
A cut this week, however, won’t necessarily set the Fed on a smooth glide path to lower rates.
A string of disappointing data is fanning worries the labor market could tip into a more serious slowdown, and drag with it consumer spending and economic growth. But inflation is still above the Fed’s 2% target and could yet be driven higher by tariffs. That’s making some policymakers wary of moving too fast.
Market Anticipation: Stocks Halt Record-Breaking Rally in Fed Countdown (Bloomberg)
Wall Street traders gearing up for the Federal Reserve decision refrained from making big bets as they awaited clues on the path of rates that will shape the outlook for markets over the next few months.
A solid retail sales report showed the consumer remains strong, tempering hopes for aggressive cuts but not preventing the widely expected 25-basis-point move.
Investors will watch the dot plot and Powell’s remarks for signals on how gradual easing may unfold, with markets betting on a path that supports growth while avoiding recession.
Price Watch: Grocery Inflation Highest Since 2022 as Trump Tariffs Pile Up (Axios)
Mideast Latest: Israel’s Gaza City Sweep is Fateful for Hamas (Bloomberg)
Deal in the Works: TikTok Buyers Group to Include Oracle, Silver Lake, Andreessen (Bloomberg)
A US investor group including Oracle, Andreessen Horowitz, and Silver Lake has reached a tentative deal to acquire TikTok’s American operations, cutting ByteDance’s stake below 20% to comply with a 2024 US national security law.
The framework, which Presidents Trump and Xi are expected to discuss this week, aims to ease a major tension point in US-China relations while allowing TikTok to keep operating in the US.
Oracle would continue hosting TikTok’s data under “Project Texas,” though questions remain over China’s role in licensing the recommendation algorithm and whether the arrangement fully satisfies US legal requirements.
Anatomy of Two Giant Deals: The U.A.E. Got Chips. The Trump Team Got Crypto Riches. (New York Times)
This summer, Steve Witkoff, Trump’s Middle East envoy, paid a visit to the coast of Sardinia, a stretch of the Mediterranean Sea crowded with super yachts.
On one of those extravagant vessels, Witkoff sat down with a member of the ultrarich ruling family of the United Arab Emirates. He was meeting Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, a trim figure in dark glasses who controls $1.5 trillion of the Emiratis’ sovereign wealth.
In May, Witkoff’s son Zach announced the first of the deals at a conference in Dubai. One of Sheikh Tahnoon’s investment firms would deposit $2 billion into World Liberty Financial, a cryptocurrency start-up founded by the Witkoffs and Trumps.
Two weeks later, the White House agreed to allow the U.A.E. access to hundreds of thousands of the world’s most advanced and scarce computer chips, a crucial tool in the high-stakes race to dominate artificial intelligence. Many of the chips would go to G42, a sprawling technology firm controlled by Sheikh Tahnoon, despite national security concerns that the chips could be shared with China.
EU Watch: Germany Backs Further Use of Frozen Russian Assets for Ukraine (Bloomberg)
Climate News: Environmentalists Urge Brazil's Petrobras to Speed Up Shift to Renewables (Bloomberg)
Environmental groups are pressuring Brazil’s state-run oil giant, Petrobras, to scale back drilling and invest more in renewables, warning that its oil-heavy plans threaten the country’s climate commitments.
The debate is intensifying as Brazil, set to host COP30 in November, faces global scrutiny over how it will balance oil expansion with its pledge to reach net zero by 2050.
Passenger Hazard: Tesla Faces US Auto Safety Investigation Over Door Handles (Bloomberg)
US auto safety regulators are investigating possible defects in Tesla vehicle doors after reports that exterior handles failed, trapping children inside. While the probe specifically focuses on an estimated 174,290 Model Y SUVs, regulators said the investigation could widen.
Campus Politics: Charlie Kirk’s Killing Stirs Up New Funding Threats for Colleges (Bloomberg)
Universities across the US are facing funding threats from Republican lawmakers over their responses to staff and faculty members’ comments about the slain conservative activist Charlie Kirk.
Today in Higher Ed: What Trump’s Foreign Student Crackdown Means for US Universities (Bloomberg)
US campuses are seeing sharp declines in international enrollment as Trump’s new visa rules and scrutiny take hold, straining university finances and threatening the pipeline of skilled workers for tech and other industries — raising doubts about America’s hold as the top destination for global talent.
Daily Read Podcast: Stream today’s AI-generated companion to this newsletter on Spotify or
Apple Podcasts.
Another
Podcast Recommendation: How Young People Are Learning Skills That Make Them Irreplaceable (Bloomberg Philanthropies - Follow the Data Podcast)
How can work experience in the cultural sector help young people succeed amid a professional world increasingly shaped by AI?
On the latest episode of Follow the Data, our Arts Program lead Kate D. Levin shares how the Bloomberg Arts Internship helps students gain valuable critical thinking, emotional intelligence, and leadership skills to prepare them for a wide range of careers.
In
Memoriam: Robert Redford, Film's Quintessential Leading Man, Dies at 89 (Bloomberg)
Robert Redford, the quintessentially handsome leading man who starred in acclaimed movies, won an Academy Award as a director and was hailed as the “godfather of indie films” for founding the Sundance Film Festival, has died. He was 89.
Mike Bloomberg shared that
“we lost a legendary actor and passionate voice for the planet,” calling Robert “a great champion in the fight against climate change” and adding, “I was honored to call him an ally and a friend.”
Here’s
a photo of Mike and Robert at the COP21 Climate Conference in Paris, shared in Mike’s post on Instagram:
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