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Volatility Ride: Wall Street Banks Break Records as Iran War Drives Trading Boom (Financial Times)
Wall Street’s biggest banks smashed records with first-quarter earnings that capitalized on market volatility sparked by the outbreak of the Iran war.
JPMorgan Chase reported the highest ever revenues from its trading business and net income for the bank that was second only to 2024, when it received a one-off windfall from the sale of its stake in Visa. Rival
Citi posted its best quarterly revenue in a decade and a 42% jump in net income, lifting its shares to their highest level since the financial crisis.
Combined, JPMorgan, Citi and Wells Fargo reported more than $25bn of profits for the first three months of the year, as the banks’ traders benefited from sharp moves in markets without higher oil prices hurting US borrowers.
Announced this morning: Bank of America’s traders pulled in the business’s highest quarterly revenue in more than a decade, riding a wave of volatility that pushed the firm’s stock-trading desk to an all-time record.
The first quarter was marked by geopolitical shocks,
including the US military operation in Venezuela and the Iran war, which triggered bouts in volatility in commodities markets and upended expectations around the future path of interest rates. This type of volatility is good for investment banks, which make money from financing and facilitating client trades.
Another Round of 'TACO'? Trump Hints at War’s End as Hormuz Standoff Chokes Oil Flows (Bloomberg)
President Trump played down the prospect of renewed fighting in the war with Iran, even as questions remain over Tehran’s nuclear program and access to the Strait of Hormuz.
Speaking to ABC News on Tuesday, Trump said extending a ceasefire that expires next week may not be necessary, hinting at near-term progress toward a deal to end the near seven-week conflict. In a Fox Business interview, he said the war is “close to over.”
Trump’s upbeat assessment of the prospects for diplomacy boosted market sentiment, with stocks steadying on Wednesday after several major indexes erased declines since the war began in February. Oil prices remain elevated, with Brent crude trading at $95.60 barrel, about 33% higher than before the start of the war.
Meanwhile:
US Sends Thousands More Troops to Mideast as Trump Seeks to Squeeze Iran
(Washington Post)
The Pentagon is sending thousands of additional troops into the Middle East in the coming days, as the Trump administration attempts to pressure Iran into a deal. The troops will join the estimated 50,000 personnel that the Pentagon has said are involved in operations countering Iran.
Trump Stands Alone: US Allies Are Steering Clear of Naval Mission in Hormuz Strait (Bloomberg)
Inflation Nation: US Gasoline, Diesel Pump Prices Reach All-Time Seasonal Highs (Bloomberg)
Pocketbook Pain: US Tax Day Arrives with Republicans Struggling to Sell Cuts Amid War-Driven Inflation (Politico)
Electric Fury: Soaring Power Bills Threaten to Swing US Elections (Bloomberg)
Across the country, soaring electricity costs are burdening consumers and stirring voter anger. The rapid build-out of artificial intelligence data centers, along with tariffs and upgrades to an aging grid, has raised power prices at rates unseen in decades. The war in Iran is throwing global energy markets into upheaval, adding a surge in gasoline prices to affordability concerns.
The energy strains have propelled the once-mundane utility bill to the center of US politics, a place it hasn’t occupied since electricity became a staple of American life. After a 2024 election in which voter concerns over inflation and the economy helped send Donald Trump back to the White House, the outcome of this year’s midterms stands to be as much about the price of power as the price of groceries.
Grid
Pressure Builds: NYC, Washington Brace for Record Heat, Power Demand Set to Rise (Bloomberg)
Early-season heat is expected to sweep across New York City and large parts of the US, threatening hundreds of records and driving up energy demand.
New York’s Central Park is forecast to reach 86F (30C) Wednesday, one degree shy of the record for the date set in 1941. Meanwhile, Washington is expected to hit 94F, setting a new high for the day, the National Weather Service said. It would be the earliest 90-degree day in Washington since April 2013, according to AccuWeather Inc.
Upcoming Rollout: Anthropic Preps Opus 4.7 Model with AI Design Tools (The Information)
Anthropic is preparing to release its next flagship model, Claude Opus 4.7, along with a new AI-powered tool for designing websites and presentations. News of the upcoming AI design tool sent the share prices of Adobe, Wix and Figma down more than 2% in the hours following this report.
Divine Divide: How an Image Depicting Trump as Christ Sparked a Backlash on the Religious Right (Wall Street Journal)
Conservative Christians have rallied behind Trump in recent years, despite initial misgivings, standing with him through two impeachments and three elections. Trump, in turn, has made good on campaign promises to them, nominating Supreme Court justices who helped overturn Roe v. Wade.
But for many Christian leaders, Trump’s Sunday night Truth Social post—along with his pointed criticism of Pope Leo XIV—went too far.
The consternation over Trump’s social-media posts could turn into a political liability for Republicans as the president leads the GOP into the midterms. He has won over a majority of Catholics in three consecutive elections, most recently carrying 55% of the Catholic vote in 2024.
Republicans were counting on those voters as they head into the midterms, a plan made more difficult after Trump lashed out at the pope.
Trump Fight of the Day: Trump Slams Italy's Meloni, Deepening Fallout From His Pope Attack (Bloomberg)
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